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Crown Green Handicap

Cath Johnston (SB)

Team: West Kirby BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

945

Current Handicap

7
Honours
Season:

39

Matches Played

25

Wins

14

Losses

64%

Win Rate

10.8

Avg Win Margin

7.7

Avg Loss Margin

16-5

Home Record

9-9

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
39 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/29/2025

A large recent sample: 39 matches in the 2026 window, comfortably past the 17-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1511/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2022
10-Game Streak11 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 39 matches

+7 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Apr8 Jun9 Aug24 Apr12 Aug22 Apr24 Jun29 Aug-12510

Gives 7 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current7
Win Percentage(40%)
64%
score+0.28→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
10.8
score+0.47→contribution+0.12
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.7
score+0.05→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
816
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.235
Sample Size Confidence
100%(39/17 matches)
Rating1118 → shrunk 1118→ adjusted 945
Handicap
7

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

25W14L39 matches·64.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
West Kirby B2022–2025Division 22922775.9%
West Kirby C2024Division 283537.5%
West Kirby A2022Division 12020%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/29/2025Jane ClarkH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2025Joan GoudieH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2025Lesley HallA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/31/2025Mavis OwensA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2025Linda HillH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2025Lesley QuinnH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Jane WrightA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2025Peggy WardA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2025Bev ArnoldA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2025Alison BurtH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
4/24/2025Linda HillA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Jo FitzpatrickH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2024Julie ParryH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2024Jayne EcclesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024June SillitoeA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2024Joan CairnsH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2024Marie ListerA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2024Beryl GernonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2024Hefina Howarth( SB)H13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2024Frances Marmion (SB)A10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2024Linda FarnworthH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
4/24/2024Peggy WardH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
9/1/2022Lyn Bennett (SA)H17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022Linda Henney-ScraftonH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/24/2022Jean JonesH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2022Margaret CowanA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022June SillitoeH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Rita SimpsonA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2022Mo MillerA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2022vs Greasby AH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/22/2022Pat EdgeA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/8/2022Pat SpenceH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
6/1/2022Amanda GreenA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/25/2022Doris HeyesH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Susan CowanA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2022Elaine JeanrenaudH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2022Anne-Marie ProffittH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Joy Humphreys (SA)A8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2022Fiona CampbellA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

11

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWLLWWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Linda Hill202100%7/2/2025
Peggy Ward202100%6/9/2025
June Sillitoe11250%8/27/2024
Jane Clark0110%8/29/2025
Joan Goudie101100%8/13/2025
Lesley Hall0110%8/1/2025
Mavis Owens0110%7/31/2025
Lesley Quinn101100%6/27/2025
Jane Wright101100%6/24/2025
Bev Arnold0110%5/28/2025
Biggest Win
Rita Simpson (+19)8/2/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Susan Cowan (-13)5/17/2022
Best Season
202282% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202440% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
84% → 45%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78934 known · 5 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
20-1361% win rate

By Division

Division 225-12 (68%)
Division 10-2 (0%)
Division 10%
0W·2L·2 played
Division 267.6%
25W·12L·37 played

Debut

Apr 25, 2022

Latest

Aug 29, 2025

Seasons Active

3 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (39 total)

Seasons

202220242025